I used to think that a slot could be ‘on fire’ or ‘ice-cold’. Sometimes you land big wins one after another. Other times, it feels like you can’t catch a break no matter what.
But is there any truth to this “hot and cold” talk? I’ve done my homework on this – both in theory and practice. I’m sharing my findings in this piece.
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What People Mean by Hot or Cold Games
When players say a game is “hot,” they mean it’s paying well – lots of wins, maybe some big hits too. When it’s “cold,” it’s the opposite—dead spins, small payouts, no real action.
In many casino chats and forums, you’ll see players chasing hot slots or running away from cold ones. Some even swap tips about which games are “in the mood” to pay.
The truth? This thinking is based more on feeling than fact.
The Rational Perspective
How Online Casino Games Actually Work
Every modern online slot or table game runs on something called a Random Number Generator (RNG). In simple terms, every spin or round is totally random. One spin has no connection to the one before it or the one after it.
That’s why the idea of a game “getting hot” or “cooling off” doesn’t really fit how these games are built.
The Role of RTP and Variance
Now, there is a number called RTP (Return to Player). It shows the long-term average payout of a game. For example, a 97.6% RTP means that over millions of spins, the game gives back about 97.6% of all bets.
But note that it’s a long-term number. In a short session (like 100 spins) you could be way above or below that number.
That’s where variance comes in. It’s what makes some games “swingy” (big wins, big losses) and others more steady. Variance explains why you might feel like a game is “hot” or “cold”. In reality, it’s just normal randomness.
Why It Feels Like Hot or Cold Streaks Happen
Once, I was playing Book of Dead and hit three bonuses in less than 50 spins. My brain screamed: “This game is on fire!”
But was it really? Not at all. It was just random luck clustering some wins together.
Our brains are wired to find patterns (even when there aren’t any). It’s called confirmation bias. You remember the streaks and forget the average sessions.
That’s why this “hot/cold” talk spreads so easily.
Are There Any Exceptions?
There are a couple of small cases where things might look less random:
- Progressive jackpots: If a jackpot is about to hit its “must drop” limit, players often flock to it. This can lead to more wins being reported around that time.
- Live games with multipliers: In games like Crazy Time, bonus rounds can cluster purely by chance, which fuels the “hot board” talk.
But normal slots? Nope. The RNG doesn’t change based on past outcomes.
My Tips on How to Approach This as a Player
After running plenty of sessions myself, here’s what I actually do now:
- Ignore hot/cold talk in chats.
If someone says, “This slot is hot right now,” I smile and keep scrolling. It’s not real data.
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- Choose games based on what you enjoy.
For me, I pick games based on volatility, bonus features, and win potential. I like high-variance slots when I want a shot at a big win, and low-variance ones when I want longer play.
- Watch your own sessions.
If a game’s just boring me, I switch. But I don’t switch because I think it’s “cold.” I do it because I want a different type of game flow.
- Example: My typical session approach
When I log in, I usually pick 3–4 games for the day. I give each one about 100–150 spins. If I enjoy how it’s playing, I stick with it. If not, I move on.
The Bottom Line
Hot or cold games don’t really exist – at least not in the way players think. Games run on math and randomness. Sometimes you’ll hit a lucky streak. Other times, you’ll run cold. But it’s not because the game “knows” anything.
Your best move is to pick games you enjoy and understand how their volatility works. That gives you more fun (and fewer myths to chase).
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